A market report from fäm Properties released on December 29, 2025, projected that Dubai real estate would enter 2026 with a transition from momentum-driven purchases to more selective, logic-based buying focused on fundamentals. The analysis, drawn from DXBInteract data using verified Dubai Land Department transaction records, highlighted record activity in the first 11 months of 2025 with 197,263 deals valued at AED 624.1 billion. This performance set the stage for increased buyer discipline in assessing pricing, quality and long-term value rather than market hype alone.
The fäm Properties report described 2025 as a year in which buyer decisions were largely fuelled by market momentum instead of deep evaluation of developer track records, construction standards or property usability. End-user demand strengthened notably, particularly among families opting for ownership in well-serviced communities, adding stability to established areas. Global capital inflows arrived from Europe, the UK, the CIS countries, India, Africa and increasingly North America, while commercial real estate expanded in response to demand from construction, logistics, professional services and broader economic growth.
According to the report, 2026 will reward projects and communities delivering genuine connectivity, strong fundamentals, credible execution, clear lifestyle benefits, value and true scarcity. Extreme luxury segments including prime villas, branded residences and waterfront assets are expected to demonstrate continued resilience due to structural undersupply that sustains pricing, liquidity and resale velocity. The firm anticipates a more polarized landscape in which Tier-1 developers with proven delivery records will capture the majority of off-plan interest.
International developers, particularly from the United States with groups such as Discovery Land cited as examples, are set to intensify competition in Dubai, introducing new standards of design and operations, the report stated. Commercial real estate momentum in offices, logistics and mixed-use projects should persist, supported by sustained economic expansion, infrastructure spending and rising corporate activity. Full-year Dubai Land Department figures released in early 2026 confirmed total real estate transactions for 2025 reached AED 917 billion, with sales volumes exceeding 215,000 deals and showing roughly 20 to 31 percent growth compared with 2024.
The fäm Properties analysis identified infrastructure improvements as a key driver, with communities linked to the forthcoming Dubai Metro Blue Line poised to benefit from enhanced appeal, pricing power and liquidity. Locations including Dubai Creek Harbour, Festival City, sections of Dubai Silicon Oasis and International City are highlighted for renewed interest. Prime villa districts such as Jumeirah Bay Island, Palm Jumeirah, Al Wasl, Dubai Hills Estate and Mohammed Bin Rashid City recorded the strongest resale performance and lowest discount tolerance during 2025.
Firas Al Msaddi, CEO of fäm Properties, said in the report, «In 2025, momentum drove decisions, but 2026 will be the year when buyers and investors operate with far more logic and discipline.» He added that buyers would evaluate the full equation of price versus value, payment plan realism, construction consistency, location and developer credibility instead of relying on brand names alone. Al Msaddi noted that the strongest projects are those where fundamentals align and execution risk remains low, while the brokerage involved must demonstrate brand equity, data depth and a proven track record.
Walkable, lifestyle-oriented master communities such as City Walk, Central Park at City Walk, Bluewaters Island and upcoming Meraas developments are forecast to draw increased attention because of integrated retail, design quality and human-scale planning, according to the report. Etihad Rail-influenced corridors and the southern logistics zone around Dubai South are positioned as longer-term strategic opportunities as inter-emirate connectivity and industrial demand develop. A shifting global economic environment featuring easing monetary policy after quantitative tightening is expected to provide additional support for real asset valuations in a supply-constrained market such as Dubai.
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